#UCLfantasy: What the numbers say

Ahead of matchday six, UEFA.com crunches the numbers to find out which players are predicted for big points hauls.

Roma's Edin Džeko is the top projected points scorer for matchday six
Roma's Edin Džeko is the top projected points scorer for matchday six ©AFP/Getty Images

Predicting which Fantasy players are going to perform on a given matchday is a difficult task. Through crunching the numbers, a projected points total for each player has been calculated based on the player's historical performance in the UEFA Champions League. Goals, assists, clean sheets and the likelihood of playing are the major parameters used in our projections.

As ever, check team news before making your final selections!

GOALKEEPERS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
Odisseas Vlachodimos 4.5 Benfica AEK Athens H Wednesday 6.1
Ralf Fährmann 4.5 Schalke Lokomotiv H Tuesday 6.1
Thibaut Courtois 6.0 Real Madrid CSKA Moskva H Wednesday 6.1
Wojciech Szczęsny 5.7 Juventus Young Boys A Wednesday 6.0
R. Bürki 5.7 Dortmund Monaco A Tuesday 6.0

The top projected goalkeeper for matchday six is Odisseas Vlachodimos with Benfica facing AEK, who have failed to score in four of their five group matches this season. Second on the list is Ralf Fährmann (€4.5m), who kept a clean sheet when Schalke faced Lokomotiv Moskva back on matchday two.

Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois is third in the projected top five and has yet to concede in this season's competition. The Belgian is projected to keep a third clean sheet in a row on matchday six. Juve's Wojciech Szczęsny and Roman Bürki of Dortmund occupy the final two spots in the top five, both having already kept four clean sheets in their five group matches. Juventus travel to Young Boys, while Dortmund face Monaco, and both opponents have failed to score in three of their five fixtures.

DEFENDERS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
Alex Grimaldo 4.5 Benfica    AEK Athens H Wednesday 7.7
Leonardo Bonucci 6.1 Juventus Young Boys A Wednesday 7.2
Sergio Ramos 6.4 Real Madrid CSKA Moskva H Wednesday 6.0
Dani Carvajal 5.4 Real Madrid CSKA Moskva H Wednesday 6.0
Marcelo 6.5 Real Madrid CSKA Moskva H Wednesday 6.0
Alex Sandro* 6.0 Juventus Young Boys A Wednesday 6.0
Giorgio Chiellini 6.0 Juventus Young Boys A Wednesday 6.0
Dan-Axel Zagadou* 4.0 Dortmund Monaco A Tuesday 6.0
Benjamin Stambouli 5.0 Schalke Lokomotiv H Tuesday 6.0
Łukasz Piszczek 6.0 Dortmund Monaco A Tuesday 6.0

Benfica's Alex Grimaldo is the top projected defender for matchday six. AEK have failed to score in each of their away games in the group stage and four of their five in total, the defender scoring twice in Athens on matchday two.

Both Juventus and Real Madrid are projected to keep a clean sheet with three defenders from each side featuring in the top ten. Of the Real Madrid players, Sergio Ramos is the highest projected due to his goal scoring ability and penalty duties. Among the Juventus trio, Leonardo Bonucci is projected to outscore Alex Sandro and Giorgio Chiellini due to the assist he recorded when Juventus last played Young Boys.

MIDFIELDERS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
Riyad Mahrez 8.6 Man. City Hoffenheim H Wednesday 8.6
David Silva 9.1 Man. City Hoffenheim H Wednesday 6.8
Lorenzo Pellegrini* 7.7 Roma Plzeň A Wednesday 6.2
Toni Kroos* 8.0 Real Madrid CSKA Moskva H Wednesday 5.9
Cengiz Ünder*   7.4 Roma Plzeň A Wednesday 5.8
Juan Cuadrado 7.5 Juventus Young Boys A Wednesday 5.5
Jadon Sancho 5.0 Dortmund Monaco A Tuesday 5.4
Marco Reus 9.1 Dortmund Monaco A Tuesday 5.4
Miralem Pjanić 8.6 Juventus Young Boys H Wednesday 5.1
Weston Mckennie 5.0 Schalke Lokomotiv A Tuesday 5.1
Tanguy Ndombélé 5.6 Lyon Shakhtar A Wednesday 4.8

Manchester City duo Riyad Mahrez and David Silva are the top two projected midfielders, and are two of the top three scorers in their position on Fantasy having returned 29 and 27 points respectively. Silva has scored three times already in the competition – including one against matchday six opponents Hoffenheim. Mahrez has started the last three UEFA Champions League matches and has either scored or assisted in each one of them.

Lorenzo Pellegrini and Cengiz Ünder face a trip to Plzeň, whom Roma beat 5-0 on matchday two with Ünder scoring one goal and assisting two more and Pellegrini registering an assist. Lower down the list are a selection of midfielders who have potentially favourable fixtures. Juventus travel to Young Boys, who have yet to keep a clean sheet, Dortmund head to a Monaco side who have shipped 12 goals in their five matches so far, while Schalke's opponents Lokomotiv Moskva have conceded seven goals in their two away fixtures in Group D.

FORWARDS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
E. Džeko* 10.2 Roma Plzeň A Wednesday 9.5

Kylian Mbappé

10.0 Paris Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 8.9

Lionel Messi

11.6 Barcelona Tottenham H Tuesday 7.0
Cristiano Ronaldo 11.9 Juventus Young Boys A Wednesday 7.0
Neymar 11.0 Paris Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 6.3
Memphis Depay 8.5 Lyon Shakhtar A Wednesday 5.9
Karim Benzema* 9.6 Real Madrid CSKA Moskva H Wednesday 5.6

Gareth Bale*

10.5 Real Madrid CSKA Moskva H Wednesday 5.6
Edinson Cavani 11.0 Paris Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 5.5
Paulo Dybala 10.2 Juventus Young Boys A Wednesday 5.3
Gabriel Jesus 8.4 Man. City Hoffenheim H Wednesday 4.7

A mixture of Tuesday and Wednesday gamedays are represented in the projected top forwards, meaning Fantasy managers can make the most of substitutions between gamedays. Top of the pile is Edin Džeko, who scored a hat-trick when Roma played Plzeň on matchday two, while big guns Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are projected to score heavily. Mbappé scored and assisted when Paris beat Crvena zvezda 6-1 in the second round of matches, while Messi has yet to score fewer than nine Fantasy points in a match this season. Ronaldo has been involved in two goals in Juventus's last two fixtures.

Both Karim Benzema and Gareth Bale are projected to produce attacking returns when CSKA Moskva visits Real Madrid having conceded five goals in their two away games in this season's UEFA Champions League. Both Bale and Benzema have three goals and two assists this season.

*Potential injuries so be sure to check team news!

Top