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#UCLfantasy: What the numbers say

Ahead of matchday ten, UEFA.com crunches the numbers to find out which players are projected for big points hauls.

Barcelona's Jordi Alba is projected to be the joint top scorer on matchday ten
Barcelona's Jordi Alba is projected to be the joint top scorer on matchday ten ©Getty Images

Predicting which Fantasy players are going to perform on a given matchday is a difficult task. Through crunching the numbers, a projected points total for each player has been calculated based on the player's historical performance in the UEFA Champions League. Goals, assists, clean sheets and the likelihood of playing are the major parameters used in our projections.

The top projected players for each position for matchday ten are given below. As ever, check team news before making your final selections.

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GOALKEEPERS

PlayerPrice
ClubOpponentsHome/AwayGamedayProjected
Marc-André ter Stegen6.0BarcelonaMan UtdHTuesday 16 April6.2
Ederson5.6Man CityTottenhamHWednesday 17 April2.8
Alisson Becker5.8LiverpoolPortoAWednesday 17 April2.5
David de Gea6.0Man UtdBarcelonaATuesday 16 April2.4
Iker Casillas5.7PortoLiverpoolHWednesday 17 April2.4

With only one club projected to keep a clean sheet in the quarter-final second legs, the top projected goalkeeper is Barcelona No1 Marc-André ter Stegen. Fresh off a clean sheet in a 1-0 victory at Old Trafford, Barcelona will look to finish the job at the Camp Nou, where they have registered clean sheets in two of their four home matches in this season's competition.

Of the remaining four goalkeepers, none are projected to record a shut-out and instead make the top five based upon their save potential. Ederson of Manchester City is second, Liverpool No1 Alisson Becker third, Manchester United's David de Gea fourth, with Porto keeper Iker Casillas in fifth.

DEFENDERS

PlayerPrice
ClubOpponentsHome/AwayGamedayProjected
Jordi Alba6.6BarcelonaMan UtdHTuesday 16 April7.2
Gerard Piqué6.1BarcelonaMan UtdHTuesday 16 April6.9
Nélson Semedo4.6BarcelonaMan UtdHTuesday 16 April6.0
Clément Lenglet5.0BarcelonaMan UtdHTuesday 16 April6.0
Alex Telles5.5PortoLiverpoolHWednesday 17 April3.2

With just Barcelona projected to post a clean sheet on matchday ten, it's no surprise the top four spots are taken up by their back line. All their defenders are in line to collect a minimum of six points, with left-back Jordi Alba, who already has a goal and three assists in the UEFA Champions League this season, heading the list. Second is former Manchester United centre-back Gerard Piqué who has notched two goals this term and scored at home to Lyon in the round of 16.

Nélson Semedo and Clément Lenglet are yet to achieve an attacking return between them and are therefore projected the six points for a clean sheet and 90 minutes played. The lone non-Barcelona player to crack the top five projected defenders is Porto left-back Alex Telles; while a clean sheet is unlikely against Liverpool, Telles does offer points at the other end, as evidenced by his goal and two assists so far and the fact he's on penalty duties.

MIDFIELDERS

PlayerPrice
ClubOpponentsHome/AwayGamedayProjected
Leroy Sané9.0Man CityTottenhamHWednesday 17 April7.0
Raheem Sterling9.7Man CityTottenhamHWednesday 17 April6.5
David Silva9.2Man CityTottenhamHWednesday 17 April6.3
Sadio Mané9.1LiverpoolPortoATuesday 16 April5.4
Heung-Min Son6.9TottenhamMan CityAWednesday 17 April5.0

The top three projected midfielders for matchday ten are the same three Manchester City midfielders that occupied these spots for matchday nine. Leroy Sané, Raheem Sterling and David Silva all drew blanks in the first leg but, with goals needed to overturn a 1-0 deficit, will hope for better in the return. No fewer than 70% ofSane's Fantasy points have come at home, with attacking returns in each of his three home appearances; Sterling already has a pair of goals and two assists at home this season, while David Silva is always at the heart of everything City do going forward.

Liverpool's Sadio Mané has claimed 11 goals in his last 14 games in all competitions, including two in the last-16 second leg at Bayern – not forgetting his hat-trick last year at Porto, who have earned only one clean sheet in this European campaign. With Harry Kane getting injured against Manchester City, Heung-Min Son may well be pushed further forward, having taken just 20 minutes to provide a timely reminder of how effective he can be in deputising for Kane with the first-leg winner.

FORWARDS

PlayerPrice
ClubOpponentsHome/AwayGamedayProjected
Cristiano Ronaldo12.1JuventusAjaxHTuesday 16 April7.2
Lionel Messi11.7BarcelonaMan UtdHTuesday 16 April6.9
Moussa Marega8.1PortoLiverpoolHWednesday 17 April6
Paulo Dybala10.2JuventusAjaxHTuesday 16 April5.8
Sergio Aguero10.4Man CityTottenhamHTuesday 16 April5.6

Number one on the forwards list is the top-scoring player in UEFA Champions League history, Cristiano Ronaldo, who bagged his 125th goal in the competition at Ajax and also hit a hat-trick on his last #UCL outing in Turin, against Atlético Madrid in the round of 16. The Portuguese star is projected to outscore Lionel Messi, who for once blanked on matchday nine. Still the UEFA Champions League's joint-leading marksman this term, Messi has scored at least once in each of Barcelona's last four home matches on all fronts.

Porto have found the net in all four home games in this season's competition, with Moussa Marega key with a goal in each. Ronaldo's Juventus team-mate Paulo Dybala has five goals for the campaign, the same as his celebrated strike partner. Sergio Agüero completes the top five, having scored 18 times in just 17 appearances at the City of Manchester Stadium this term.