#UCLfantasy: What the numbers say

UEFA.com runs the rule over the facts and figures to find out who might be a worthwhile matchday four investment.

Liverpool's Andy Robertson is the top projected points scorer on matchday four
Liverpool's Andy Robertson is the top projected points scorer on matchday four ©Getty Images

Predicting which Fantasy players are going to perform on a given matchday is a difficult task. Through crunching the numbers, a projected points total for each player has been calculated based on the player's historical performance in the UEFA Champions League. Goals, assists, clean sheets and the likelihood of playing are the major parameters used in our projections.

The top projected players for each position for matchday four are given below.

GOALKEEPERS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
Marc-André ter Stegen 6.0 Barcelona Internazionale A Tuesday 6.3
Manuel Neuer 6.0 Bayern AEK Athens H Wednesday 6.2
Neto 5.0 Valencia Young Boys H Wednesday 6.1
Alisson Becker 5.5 Liverpool Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 6.1
Andre Onana 4.5 Ajax Benfica A Wednesday 6.0

Multiple clubs and goalkeepers are projected to keep a clean sheet on matchday four. Of the top five, four kept a clean sheet against their opponents in the reverse fixture. Barcelona's Marc-André ter Stegen, Bayern's Manuel Neuer, Liverpool's Alisson Becker and Ajax's Andre Onana offer a range of prices and gamedays for managers to consider, while Neto could prove a worthwhile investment.

DEFENDERS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
Andy Robertson 5.5 Liverpool Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 8.9
David Alaba 6.5 Bayern AEK Athens H Wednesday 8.2
Jordi Alba 6.5 Barcelona Internazionale A Tuesday 7.9
Achraf Hakimi 4.5 Dortmund Atlético A Tuesday 7.5
Nicolás Tagliafico 4.5 Ajax Benfica A Wednesday 7.5
Mats Hummels 6.0 Bayern AEK Athens H Wednesday 7.0
Alex Telles 5.5 Porto Lokomotiv H Tuesday 6.4
Leonardo Bonucci 6.0 Juventus Man. Utd H Wednesday 6.3
Mouctar Diakhaby 4.0 Valencia Young Boys H Wednesday 6.0
Cristiano Piccini 4.5 Valencia Young Boys H Wednesday 6.0

Full-backs lead the way for matchday four's top projected defenders, with the top three spots all belonging to attacking left-backs. At the very top is Andy Robertson, who recorded a clean sheet and an assist against Crvena zvezda on matchday three. A premium option, Bayern's David Alaba registered two clean sheets and an assist in his three home appearances in last season's UEFA Champions League; the Austrian is projected to keep a clean sheet against an AEK side who have failed to score in two of their three matches in the tournament so far.

Barcelona's Jordi Alba – who boasts more Fantasy points than any other defender – unsurprisingly makes the top three having already registered two clean sheets, three assists and one goal in this season's group stage. Valencia provide two budget options; Mouctar Diakhaby and Cristiano Piccini face Young Boys, who have failed to find the net in two of their three UEFA Champions League matches so far.

MIDFIELDERS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
Mohamed Salah 11.0 Liverpool Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 8.6
Erik Lamela 7.0 Tottenham PSV Eindhoven H Tuesday 6.9
Jesús Corona 6.5 Porto Lokomotiv H Tuesday 6.9
Jadon Sancho 5.0 Dortmund Atlético A Tuesday 6.6
Marco Reus 6.0 Dortmund Atlético A Tuesday 6.6
Pablo Rosario 5.5 PSV Eindhoven Tottenham A Tuesday 6.3
Xherdan Shaqiri 7.5 Liverpool Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 6.0
David Silva 9.0 Man. City Shakhtar H Wednesday 5.9
Bernardo Silva 8.0 Man. City Shakhtar H Wednesday 5.9
Sadio Mané 9.0 Liverpool Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 5.8

The projected top midfielders come predominantly from English clubs, who provide six of the top ten. At the top of the table are Liverpool's Mohamed Salah and Tottenham's Erik Lamela. The former is well known to #UCLfantasy players thanks to his ten goals and four assists last season, and is in the middle of a rich vein of form with five goals in his last four matches for club and country. Lamela may not be in quite that form, but has already demonstrated his pedigree in this season's competition with a goal and an assist.

Elsewhere, two Dortmund players are in the top ten. While Marco Reus needs no introduction, Jadon Sancho warrants further inspection. The Englishman has returned one goal and one assist in this season's competition and represents an eye-catching budget option.

FORWARDS

Player Price
Club Opponents Home/Away Gameday Projected
Edin Džeko 10.0 Roma CSKA Moskva A Wednesday 8.6

Cristiano Ronaldo

12.0 Juventus Man. Utd H Wednesday 7.0
Roberto Firmino 9.5 Liverpool Crvena zvezda A Tuesday 6.5
Lionel Messi 11.5 Barcelona Internazionale A Tuesday 6.5
Andrej Kramarić 7.5 Hoffenheim Lyon A Wednesday 5.9
Hirving Lozano 7.0 PSV Tottenham A Tuesday 5.8
Harry Kane 11.0 Tottenham PSV H Tuesday 5.6

Robert Lewandowski

11.0 Bayern AEK Athens H Wednesday 5.6
Moussa Marega 7.5 Porto Lokomotiv H Tuesday 5.1
José Callejón 8.5 Napoli Paris H Tuesday 5.0

A range of premium and mid-price options are projected in the top ten forwards. The top choice is Edin Džeko, who with five goals is top scorer in this season's UEFA Champions League along with Lionel Messi, and got two in the reverse fixture against CSKA. Premium assets Cristiano Ronaldo, Messi (an injury doubt), Harry Kane and Robert Lewandowski make an appearance, with Ronaldo still looking for his first #UCL goal for Juventus.

Of the mid-price options, Moussa Marega has scored in two of his three #UCL matches this season, returning four or more points each matchday. His Porto side host Lokomotiv Moskva, who have conceded in every group match.

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